European stocks rise at the week’s onset, encouraged by Wall Street’s recent performance and optimism.

by VT Markets
/
Mar 3, 2025

European equities opened higher on 3 March 2025, reflecting a slight catch-up to gains seen in Wall Street last Friday. Major indices are looking to maintain the positive momentum from February, with Eurostoxx rising by 0.2%, and the Germany DAX up by 0.7%.

Other indices also posted gains, including France’s CAC 40 at 0.2%, the UK’s FTSE increasing by 0.3%, Spain’s IBEX rising by 0.1%, and Italy’s FTSE MIB up by 0.5%. The overall mood improved, evidenced by a 0.2% rise in S&P 500 futures, though uncertainty remains regarding upcoming decisions on tariffs.

Market Optimism And Trade Policy Risks

This opening suggests that European markets are tracking the positive sentiment from the US. It points to mild optimism but also hints at lingering concerns, especially with policy decisions that could have an effect on trade. A steady rise, as seen across these indices, shows that confidence remains intact—for now. The mention of tariff uncertainty means investors are watching policy shifts closely, as these could change the direction of current trends.

With European markets attempting to build on February’s strength, a cautious approach remains necessary. Steady gains indicate optimism, yet traders should remain aware of external risks, particularly in relation to trade policies that could influence demand for European exports. Even with US futures ticking higher, it does not guarantee sustained momentum if economic or geopolitical factors shift unexpectedly.

Beyond broad market sentiment, liquidity conditions will be important in determining how long this momentum holds. February’s performance suggests investors have been willing to take on more exposure, but this could change with any shifts in central bank policy or economic outlooks. If recent gains have been driven by expectations of lower interest rates, any deviation from those assumptions could bring about volatility.

Short-term traders should focus on levels of resistance and support, particularly within the DAX and FTSE 100, which have been closely following global trends. The early move in Germany, for instance, places attention on whether buyers will step in at higher levels or if sellers take control should momentum fade. Meanwhile, the CAC 40’s modest move keeps attention on individual sectors leading the advance.

Impact Of Bond Market Movements

Bond markets should also not be overlooked. Their movements have often preceded shifts in equities, and any rapid changes in yields could impact risk sentiment. When rates push higher unexpectedly, investors tend to recalibrate their approach to stocks, particularly in interest rate-sensitive sectors.

Data releases later this week will be under greater scrutiny. Any deviation from expectations surrounding growth, inflation, or employment could shift sentiment quickly, particularly if confidence has been built on assumptions that prove too optimistic. With index futures still showing tentativeness despite today’s early positivity, traders should remain prepared for possible reversals should external factors dictate a change in outlook.

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