In February, Indonesia’s Core Inflation soared to 2.48%, exceeding the predicted rate of 2.45%.

by VT Markets
/
Mar 3, 2025

Core inflation in Indonesia registered at 2.48% year-on-year in February, surpassing the anticipated figure of 2.45%. This indicates a slight upward trend in inflationary pressures within the economy.

In related market movements, the AUD/USD pair remains above 0.6200 following positive Chinese manufacturing data. The Euro also displays strength against the US Dollar, trading above 1.0400, boosted by renewed peace efforts in Ukraine.

Gold prices are stabilising after recent lows, as geopolitical and tariff issues continue to generate uncertainty. Meanwhile, cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin and Ethereum have experienced significant rallies over the weekend.

Indonesia’s inflation trend: What it means for markets

The marginal rise in core inflation within Indonesia suggests that pricing pressures are growing, albeit modestly. While the deviation from expectations is not particularly large, it hints at a broader trend that could influence central bank policy in the near term. If inflation continues to push higher, adjustments to interest rates might become a topic of discussion. For traders dealing with derivative instruments linked to Indonesian assets, this is worth keeping an eye on, as shifting expectations around monetary policy could add to volatility.

Over to currency markets, the Australian Dollar remains firm beyond 0.6200, supported by encouraging data from Chinese manufacturing. Given Australia’s reliance on China as a trading partner, healthy economic activity there usually translates into support for the Aussie. Anyone trading derivatives tied to AUD/USD should consider whether this momentum has legs or if resistance levels could cap further upside. On the other hand, the Euro has gained ground against the Dollar, buoyed by renewed diplomatic efforts concerning Ukraine. Market participants appear to be factoring in potential de-escalation, which tends to favour risk-on sentiment. However, traders should remain mindful of how fast sentiment can shift when geopolitical tensions are involved.

Gold prices appear to be steadying following their earlier declines. Despite this, uncertainty around trade policies and global conflicts remains very much in play. Traditionally, gold serves as a safe-haven asset, attracting demand when instability resurfaces. Those engaged in gold futures or options may want to assess whether the current stabilisation phase represents an opportunity for accumulation or if further downside remains possible.

Crypto rallies: Sustainable momentum or short-term hype?

Meanwhile, Bitcoin and Ethereum have surged over the weekend, drawing attention back to the cryptocurrency market. Increased buying interest may signal renewed confidence among investors, though it is worth remembering how quickly sentiment can shift in these markets. For traders working with crypto derivatives, recent price action suggests a period of heightened volatility ahead. Whether this rally has fundamental backing or is driven merely by short-term speculation remains a crucial question. Volatility creates opportunity, but risk management will be absolutely essential.

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