In January, South Korea’s year-on-year industrial output fell to -4.1%, missing projections of -2%.

by VT Markets
/
Mar 4, 2025

In January, South Korea’s industrial output year-on-year decreased by 4.1%, falling short of the expected decline of 2%. This performance reflects underlying economic challenges faced by the country.

The AUD/USD remains under pressure near 0.6200 as the Reserve Bank of Australia’s dovish sentiments highlight potential economic risks. Trade tensions between the US and China further complicate the situation for the Australian dollar.

USD/JPY has rebounded to 149.00, buoyed by heightened demand for the US Dollar amid risk aversion. However, concerns surrounding interest rate hikes from the Bank of Japan keep the Japanese Yen relatively strong.

Gold Prices And Trade Disputes

Gold prices are stabilising below $2,900 amid fears of an escalating global tariff war. The ongoing tariff disputes intensify volatility in the market dynamics, influencing investment decisions.

Ethereum’s price fell 16% to $2,100, facing resistance at $1.8 billion. Tariff developments have dampened previously bullish sentiments regarding the cryptocurrency market.

Market observers are anticipating significant data releases, including Nonfarm Payrolls, as global economic tensions remain high. Stakeholders are urged to approach trading with caution due to the prevailing risks.

The decline in South Korea’s industrial output, exceeding initial forecasts, highlights deeper economic difficulties. A contraction of 4.1% rather than the predicted 2% points to underlying structural weaknesses or deteriorating external conditions. It suggests reduced production activity, likely influenced by weaker global demand or domestic slowdowns. Traders involved with assets linked to this market should exercise restraint. If this trend persists, it could impact broader sentiment toward other export-heavy economies.

Meanwhile, the Australian dollar remains under downward pressure, hovering near 0.6200. The Reserve Bank of Australia’s softer stance on monetary policy has raised concerns about future economic momentum. At the same time, unresolved trade tensions between the US and China only add to the strain. This combination leaves little room for optimism in the short term. If risk appetite weakens further, we would expect additional selling pressure. Those watching commodity-backed currencies should monitor developments closely, as external forces appear to be dictating much of the movement.

The US dollar remains firm against the yen, with USD/JPY climbing back to 149.00. The air of caution in the broader economy has increased demand for the greenback, reinforcing its strength. However, speculation over possible rate hikes from the Bank of Japan ensures that the yen does not weaken too much. Investors could see heightened volatility in this pair in the coming sessions as the narrative shifts between economic uncertainty and monetary policy expectations. Timing positioning here will be key.

Gold prices have settled below $2,900, with global trade disputes driving uncertainty. A potential escalation in tariff policies fuels caution, keeping the outlook for the metal uncertain. Such tensions tend to inject instability into markets, influencing demand for safe-haven assets. If trade policies turn more restrictive, traders could see stronger movements in gold prices as investors seek shelter. The ongoing situation around tariffs will be a key factor to watch.

Ethereum has taken a hard hit, falling 16% to $2,100, retreating after encountering resistance near $1.8 billion in trading volume. Previously bullish momentum in the crypto sector has been shaken by unfavourable tariff news, dampening appetite for riskier investments. Those engaged in this market should consider adjusting exposure accordingly, as external policies continue to weigh on confidence. The sector remains unpredictable, and sentiment can shift rapidly with policy shifts.

Market Anticipation And Economic Data

Markets are bracing for the release of Nonfarm Payrolls data amid ongoing global uncertainty. In times of heightened risk, caution is a necessary approach for those participating in high-leverage trading. Economic conditions remain fragile, making it vital to assess positions carefully in the sessions ahead.

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