On Friday, Williams and Bowman discussed the U.S. Monetary Policy Forum, amidst uncertainty from Bostic

by VT Markets
/
Mar 7, 2025

Federal Reserve Bank of New York President John Williams and Federal Reserve Board Governor Michelle Bowman will take part in a panel discussion on the U.S. Monetary Policy Forum Report titled “Monetary Policy Transmission Post-Covid.” This event is scheduled for March 7, 2025, at 1545 GMT/1045 US Eastern time.

Currently, there is some uncertainty within the Fed. Fed’s Bostic noted that they are awaiting data to understand the effects of their policies amid inconsistencies from the new administration. He described the economy as being in “incredible flux,” which complicates predictions for the future. Bostic also indicated that tariffs would increase prices and reiterated the Fed’s aim to reduce inflation to the 2% target.

Impact Of Monetary Policy

Williams and Bowman will address how monetary policy affects the economy in the post-pandemic world. Their discussion arrives at a time when officials are assessing how interest rate decisions filter through markets, businesses, and consumers. Given that past rate moves take time to change financial conditions, hearing their perspective on these effects may offer insight into their thinking.

Bostic’s comments reflect the challenge policymakers face. The economy is moving in ways that do not fully align with expectations, making it harder to decide when to adjust rates. Instead of assuming previous trends will continue, officials appear to be acknowledging that data now carries more weight in shaping future decisions. He pointed out that tariffs are set to raise costs, reinforcing that inflation remains a leading concern. If prices face upward pressure from external factors, it could reduce flexibility in future policies.

While officials want inflation at 2%, there is still uncertainty over how quickly it will settle at that level. There are conflicting indicators—some suggesting prices are cooling while others hint at stubborn pressures. This makes upcoming reports highly relevant. Should inflation stay above the Fed’s comfort level, it may extend the time before any adjustments to borrowing costs. On the other hand, if data shows a faster slowdown, discussions on easing policy could gain more traction.

Outlook For Future Policy

In the next few weeks, expectations will likely shift with each key economic update. Officials have expressed caution about making any sudden policy moves. Waiting for clearer signs of where inflation and growth are headed appears to be a common theme. With this in mind, focus remains on how upcoming reports will influence sentiment.

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