The euro rises towards four-month highs, with 1.0700 resistance anticipated as the dollar weakens

by VT Markets
/
Mar 5, 2025

The EUR/USD pair has reached its highest level since 11 November, approaching the 1.0700 mark. This movement has been supported by recent easing in German debt brake rules and a weaker dollar this week.

Currently, GBP/USD has increased by 0.2% to 1.2815, while USD/JPY has decreased by 0.3% to 149.35. The upcoming US ADP employment change and ISM services PMI reports are expected to influence the dollar’s performance. Observers will monitor these developments closely as the EUR/USD pair tests the next key resistance level.

Euro Gains Strength

The euro has been gaining strength, helped by adjustments to Germany’s fiscal policies. The dollar, on the other hand, has been struggling this week. This combination has pushed EUR/USD towards 1.0700, the highest level since early November. Investors have been reacting to news about Germany softening its debt restrictions, which has led to optimism about economic stability in Europe. At the same time, a weaker dollar has given the euro more room to rise.

The pound, though not making drastic moves, has continued to show upward momentum. It has climbed slightly, while the yen has gone in the opposite direction, strengthening against the dollar. The 0.3% drop in USD/JPY suggests a small but notable shift in sentiment, as traders weigh their positions.

Attention now turns to fresh data from the United States. Employment figures and service sector performance will play a role in shaping expectations. If the reports suggest strength in the job market, the dollar could regain some ground. A weaker reading, however, may cause further softness. These factors matter because they influence speculation about interest rates. When labour market conditions remain strong, policymakers have more justification to keep rates high. If cracks start to show, expectations could shift.

Market Volatility Ahead

As EUR/USD pushes against resistance, traders may reconsider their positions. The recent rally has been steady, but the hurdles ahead will test whether the move can continue. Momentum matters in moments like this. If buyers continue to step in, the pair could break above this level. If hesitation sets in, the trend may slow, or even reverse.

For those focused on price movements, upcoming data releases may introduce volatility. This makes it necessary to stay alert to new information, particularly regarding how markets react in real time. The pace of price adjustments will offer clues about whether the latest trends have more room to run or if they start to fade.

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