The Politburo of China plans proactive policies to boost domestic demand and stabilise markets, amid challenges.

by VT Markets
/
Feb 28, 2025

China’s Politburo aims to adopt a more proactive macroeconomic policy as reported by state media. Plans include expanding domestic demand and stabilising both the housing and stock markets.

Additionally, efforts will be made to manage risks and external shocks in crucial sectors, alongside promoting sustained economic recovery. The commentary indicates intentions, but tangible effects remain uncertain.

Recent tariff threats from former President Trump have contributed to market unease, reflected in a 1.3% drop for the Shanghai Composite and a 2.7% decrease in the Hang Seng Index.

Policymakers in Beijing are signalling a shift towards stronger economic measures. The latest messaging from state media suggests a drive to support growth through increased domestic consumption and a steadier financial environment. While the rhetoric is clear, the true test lies in how these objectives translate into action. Given the fragility in certain markets, many will be watching closely to see what specific steps follow.

Meanwhile, external concerns weigh on sentiment. Trump’s recent statements about potential tariffs have already rippled through equities, with mainland shares falling and Hong Kong-listed stocks taking an even steeper hit. Investors have dealt with similar rhetoric in the past, but the timing and substance of these warnings add layers of uncertainty. The memory of prior trade disputes remains fresh, and economic planners in China will likely factor in these risks when crafting policy responses.

These developments do not exist in isolation. Housing and equities remain under pressure, and authorities appear intent on preventing further destabilisation. Given previous attempts to engineer stability, expectations will be set on whether the right measures are deployed this time. Over the coming weeks, data releases and any fresh government actions will likely shape the direction of sentiment.

Markets that react to policy shifts must pay attention to more than just the broad statements. While Beijing has reaffirmed economic priorities, execution will matter. Recent history suggests that direct intervention—such as supporting lending or adjusting capital requirements—could follow. Observers will need to assess whether these adjustments effectively counteract prevailing headwinds or merely buy time.

With external pressures growing alongside domestic challenges, staying reactive to new developments will be necessary. If further responses from Washington fuel uncertainty, the market reaction may extend beyond equities into other areas. The coming weeks may test assumptions about policy effectiveness, as well as the broader ability to sustain confidence in financial markets.

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